hhiser, on 2009-10-01 08:21:05, said:
Would be good if you show in quotes who you were replying to?
Edited by cyb, 2009-10-01 09:08:49.
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97 replies to this topic
#77Posted 2009-10-01 09:13:21
Another earthquake but no tsunami alert -
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001 PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS ISSUED AT 0200Z 01 OCT 2009 THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN. ... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ... THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY. THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 0153Z 01 OCT 2009 COORDINATES - 2.6 SOUTH 101.8 EAST LOCATION - SOUTHERN SUMATRA INDONESIA MAGNITUDE - 6.8 EVALUATION A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA. THIS EARTHQUAKE IS LOCATED TOO FAR INLAND TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI IN THE INDIAN OCEAN. THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FOR THIS EVENT. IN THE CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION...THE MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY. #79#80Posted 2009-10-01 09:55:06
Lets do try to keep this within the realm of topic discussion
#81Posted 2009-10-01 09:58:57
2 metre waves across China sea due to Typhoon Ketsana but earthquake warning of waves only barely reaching a foot--------which one are we going to prepare for???????
#83Posted 2009-10-01 10:26:15
I dont think i've read such a topic where everybody seems to be at each other's throats.to all you "would be geologists" why not just chill out and maybe concentrate on the humanitarian aspect of the disaster...............geez!
#84Posted 2009-10-01 11:01:44
UNFORTUNATELY there has been a second powerful earthquake in last hour in Sumatra 6.9
#85Posted 2009-10-01 11:48:41
2 metre waves across China sea due to Typhoon Ketsana but earthquake warning of waves only barely reaching a foot--------which one are we going to prepare for??????? Your looking for the next one that is a result of enough mass displacement to create a tsunami. Most quakes don't do that. Some do, and as I understand it not necessarily the biggest ones either. So heed the warnings, you only have to go 2 days back to see how deadly serious these warnings should be taken. #86Posted 2009-10-01 13:19:21
Been living here in the Khao Lak area now for more than 7 years, and yesterday we saw the whole false panic happen again ! Luckily there was no official warning in the area, but it was on the 7 o'clock news ( that a tsunami would be coming, and Bang Muang, Bangsak, and Khao Lak/Bang Niang area should be evacuated ). Me and some Thai friends didn't panic and stuck to the plan we had to drive to the corner of Thap Lumu, and eat seafood ( better go down with a full stomach... ) and saw loads of police directing full pickups of people coming from Thap Lamu area, still a motorcycle accident happened.. One hour later everyone returned, laughing and happy ( no tsunami ) and back to normal again. The family of my friends in Thap Lamu, stayed home anyway, sceptical about it like most people. Let's hope it doesn't really! happen anymore, since we don't believe in it anymore.. numb after 'the real thing' and so many false warnings.
Anyway, my hart and best wishes are going out to all the people in Sumatra ( and Samoa, earlyer ) who took the sh..t for us again. #87Posted 2009-10-01 13:23:24
Does anyone have any advice? I am currently a tourist on holiday in Karon Beach. Our hotel staff laughed at us when we asked them for advice and said that the Tsunami was in Samoa and not here. Take some single malts and head for the hills just in case. The experts just don't have the practical experience. Just remember the last Tsunami. Good luck brother. I agree with your post 100% and go to the hill first before anything happens.. My son and I are collecting money to the Phillipines nonprofit and we donate our own to the Red Cross. We urge everyone does his or her part..( any amount will make a difference ) Thanks for posting...my take and opinion. #88Posted 2009-10-01 13:33:08
Been living here in the Khao Lak area now for more than 7 years, and yesterday we saw the whole false panic happen again ! Luckily there was no official warning in the area, but it was on the 7 o'clock news ( that a tsunami would be coming, and Bang Muang, Bangsak, and Khao Lak/Bang Niang area should be evacuated ). Me and some Thai friends didn't panic and stuck to the plan we had to drive to the corner of Thap Lumu, and eat seafood ( better go down with a full stomach... ) and saw loads of police directing full pickups of people coming from Thap Lamu area, still a motorcycle accident happened.. One hour later everyone returned, laughing and happy ( no tsunami ) and back to normal again. The family of my friends in Thap Lamu, stayed home anyway, sceptical about it like most people. Let's hope it doesn't really! happen anymore, since we don't believe in it anymore.. numb after 'the real thing' and so many false warnings. Anyway, my hart and best wishes are going out to all the people in Sumatra ( and Samoa, earlyer ) who took the sh..t for us again. Take good care of yourself and friends...my heart and soul go with everyone in this situation...I urge everyone helps by donating whatever you can to the victums...my opinon. #89Posted 2009-10-01 19:08:04
How did they get the warning teletype? Did they replace the batteries in the early warning system? Yes, as of several months ago, the Thai gov't couldn't muster up the funds (or ambition) to replace the batteries in the free early warning buoys that were given to them by the US! no one thought of gel cell pack and a solar panel? ( but then it mite get ripped off) That would be no good as the bouys and seabed sensor have to be replaced at a max of two years anyway. #90Posted 2009-10-01 19:38:34
http://www.prh.noaa....9.30.102622.txt TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001 PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS ISSUED AT 1026Z 30 SEP 2009 THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN. ... A REGIONAL TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ... A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR INDONESIA / INDIA / THAILAND / MALAYSIA FOR OTHER AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN REGION...THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME. THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE. AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 1016Z 30 SEP 2009 COORDINATES - 0.9 SOUTH 99.9 EAST LOCATION - SOUTHERN SUMATRA INDONESIA MAGNITUDE - 7.7 EVALUATION EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE A DESTRUCTIVE LOCAL TSUNAMI AND SOMETIMES A DESTRUCTIVE REGIONAL TSUNAMI ALONG COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A THOUSAND KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AREAS FURTHER FROM THE EPICENTER COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL SEA LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL COASTAL CURRENTS. HOWEVER - IT IS NOT KNOWN THAT A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. THIS WATCH IS BASED ONLY ON THE EARTHQUAKE EVALUATION. AUTHORITIES IN THE REGION SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THE WATCH WILL NOT EXPAND TO OTHER AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED TO WARRANT SUCH AN EXPANSION. ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR. LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME -------------------------------- ------------ ------------ INDONESIA PADANG 0.9S 100.1E 1022Z 30 SEP SIBERUT 1.5S 98.7E 1103Z 30 SEP BENGKULU 3.9S 102.0E 1125Z 30 SEP SIMEULUE 2.5N 96.0E 1136Z 30 SEP BANDA ACEH 5.5N 95.1E 1227Z 30 SEP BANDAR LAMPUNG 5.7S 105.3E 1251Z 30 SEP BELAWAN 3.8N 98.8E 1531Z 30 SEP INDIA GREAT NICOBAR 7.1N 93.6E 1236Z 30 SEP THAILAND PHUKET 8.0N 98.2E 1400Z 30 SEP KO PHRA THONG 9.1N 98.2E 1444Z 30 SEP KO TARUTAO 6.6N 99.6E 1512Z 30 SEP MALAYSIA GEORGETOWN 5.4N 100.1E 1546Z 30 SEP PORT DICKSON 2.5N 101.7E 1918Z 30 SEP ADDITIONAL BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT AS MORE INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FOR THIS EVENT. IN THE CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION...THE MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY. sending a silly warning out about a day after it happened is worse then useless. I live in Phuket and any quake with Tsunamis will have got here in a few hours max. The first thing I did was to look at times etc and it was clear there COULDN'T be a Tsunami! Samoa quake would have to cross Indonesia and Thailand... Likely also the Philippines! The one in Sumatra could have been here in 2 hours... #91Posted 2009-10-01 19:42:33
Umm Tracer0 did you notice the time I posted that report?
Just so you can confirm it was 2009-09-30 18:00:00 #92Posted 2009-10-01 19:47:38
Umm Tracer0 did you notice the time I posted that report? Just so you can confirm it was 2009-09-30 18:00:00 The report was also compiled well before you posted it farma. So for tracero to say it was almost a day late is untrue to say the least. Edited by cyb, 2009-10-01 19:48:57. #93Posted 2009-10-01 19:52:54
There's a need some basic geography lessons. How does an earthquake 50km off Padang Sumatra propagate a wave that could come anywhere near the coast of Thailand? In 2004 the quake reached South America as several oil rigs where going up and down... Whatever the quake before was a quake but as far as I know some very large blocks fell down into the deep sea.... They spotted during the next few days they were missing! note in 2004!! I think they even had a submarine checking out what happened.. #94Posted 2009-10-01 20:20:32
In case anyone is unfamiliar with ZULU time used by NOAA and other agency notices.
Thai Time is ZULU +7 hours For example the NOAA notice I posted was issued at 1026Z 30 Sep 09 which is 1726 Thai time 30Sep09 I posted as soon as the notice appeared on the NOAA site at 1800 Thai time 30Sep09 The NOAA estimated arrival time in Phuket was 1400Z which was 2100 Thai time 30Sep09 (approximately 3 hours after I posted the notice) Thankfully it didn’t happen. #95Posted 2009-10-01 20:27:20
In case anyone is unfamiliar with ZULU time used by NOAA and other agency notices. Thai Time is ZULU +7 hours For example the NOAA notice I posted was issued at 1026Z 30 Sep 09 which is 1726 Thai time 30Sep09 I posted as soon as the notice appeared on the NOAA site at 1800 Thai time 30Sep09 The NOAA estimated arrival time in Phuket was 1400Z which was 2100 Thai time 30Sep09 (approximately 3 hours after I posted the notice) Thankfully it didn't happen. . Mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm I also live and learn. Thanks for that Farma Edited by cyb, 2009-10-01 20:28:43. #96Posted 2009-10-01 23:35:06
Re: We seem to have potentialy 2 tsunamis going in different directions - What happens when they meet ?
In the open ocean, the waves would pass by and be superposed atop each other for the instant that they cross. Tsunami waves in the open ocean are typically only inches high, so maybe you would get a slight blip with a 1 foot wave. If there is any kind of wind blowing, you probably wouldn't even notice it under your boat. But they travel at very high speed, e.g., 500 mph so lots of energy and have very long wavelengths (crest to crest). They start to build vertically when they start to "feel" bottom, which in practical terms, is about on half the wave length. Then they slow down considerably and go vertical. The motion of the water in the wave then also starts to change from circular propagation to back and forth water movements (the ellipsoidal motion of the water/energy propagation is flattened). Because tsunamis have a very long wave length (can be hundreds of yards or a mile), the start to feel bottom pretty far out from places like Phuket, because it's fairly shallow there. That's why in 2004 you could see it building on the horizon and it actually took a while to get to shore. But all that 500 mph energy is packed into that big mass of water and that's why you see such a huge surge of water at the beach. One other note, tsunamis passing an island will bend around it and hit all sides, and quite often will be higher on the leeward side. So, for instance, a mini tsunami hit Hawaii just a few days ago from that Tonga trench earthquake, and was actually higher on the northeast side for the islands. Edited by FlightRisk, 2009-10-01 23:46:43. #97Posted 2009-10-02 08:47:38
Yet another Earthquake in Samoa
SINGAPORE, Oct 2 (Reuters) - A fresh earthquake on Friday rattled the region around the Samoa islands, where a series of tsunamis destroyed villages and killed at least 146. The U.S. Geological Service reported a 6.3 magnitude quake at a depth of 10 km (6.2 miles) off Tonga, an island near Western and American Samoa islands. There were no immediate reports of damage. Four powerful tsunamis generated by a huge undersea quake crashed into Samoa and American Samoa on Tuesday, destroying in minutes a paradise of palm trees, resorts and pristine beaches. http://www.reuters.c...P40088920091002 |
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