Climate
For you many naysayers, I can only wish you were right, but common sense tells me that you will probably never understand those of us who are not wearing rose colored glasses.
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244 replies to this topic
#226Posted 2010-11-21 21:35:43
For those that care about their grand kids NASA has a very nice and informative web site discussing climate change.
Climate For you many naysayers, I can only wish you were right, but common sense tells me that you will probably never understand those of us who are not wearing rose colored glasses. #227Posted 2010-11-22 07:47:48 Quote For those that care about their grand kids NASA has a very nice and informative web site discussing climate change. It is both absurd and offensive to suggest that people who do not believe that rising levels of CO2 will cause catastrophe, are in some way less loving of their children. That is the kind of dehumanising ranting which gets the extreme Green/Left so widely and justifiably despised. Quote For you many naysayers, I can only wish you were right, but common sense tells me that you will probably never understand those of us who are not wearing rose colored glasses We understand you all too well, and that is why we oppose you.. Because of the Green/Left's urgent psychological need to see humanity as 'bad' (especially the capitalist bit), they manufacture serial crises requiring government intervention, which all turn out to be baseless: on population, famine, pesticides and cancer, desertification, sperm counts, acid rain, GM crops, and many other issues, we have been promised catastrophe, often with the backing of peer-reviewed science, and repeatedly these claims are shown to be spurious. The latest one, being hastily prepared now that the AGW scare has tanked, is 'biodiversity loss'. So instead of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), we now have the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES). And on it goes. Of course, the boy who cries wolf may be right one day. But we are right to grow more sceptical when he keeps being wrong. #228Posted 2010-11-22 08:44:11
@RickBradford
Most of Thailand's citizens are involved in some form of agriculture. Their scientific community has every right to identify potential problems that may affect the future of agriculture in Thailand. Especially rice production. Those who wish to belittle this effort of the Thai scientific community because of differences of opinion on climate change should do so with facts and not "dehumanizing ranting" and conspiracy theories. "For those that care about their grand kids NASA has a very nice and informative web site discussing climate change." This is an inoffensive statement and is only directed at those who care about their grand kids regardless of point of view on climate. NASA to my knowledge is an unbiased source of information that supports the basis of concern of the Thai scientific community. If a person does not respect the information provided by NASA (naysayers) then please provide me with more authoritative sources. I didn't realize I was a Green left, what does that make you, a red right? Drop the name calling and inflammatory rhetoric! "It is both absurd and offensive to suggest that people who do not believe" in what you think to be subjected to your offensive posts. #229Posted 2010-11-22 09:08:38
These institutes and think tanks who fund the contrarian theories via their PR experts and get them onto the media with 50% volume... these are the same folk who learned this trade and its personal profitability by saying cigarettes did not necessarily cause cancer. What about the BILLIONS spent by governments worldwide promoting warming alarmism and indoctrination? Compared to this, the skeptics' funding is a mere drop in the ocean. Governments are hoping to raise trillions in carbon taxes in future years, how about that for personal profitability. Basic common sense should tell you that the media is vastly slanted towards AGW scare mongering. What about Climategate? Exactly one year ago the scandal broke, exposing the corrupt, dishonest and self serving IPCC scientists who are at the very cap stone of AGW 'research'. #230Posted 2010-11-22 10:27:42 Quote "For those that care about their grand kids NASA has a very nice and informative web site discussing climate change." This is an inoffensive statement and is only directed at those who care about their grand kids regardless of point of view on climate. NASA to my knowledge is an unbiased source of information that supports the basis of concern of the Thai scientific community. No. One of the standard accusations made of skeptics is that they selfishly support policies which will devastate the planet in the near future and cause misery to generations unborn. Quote The clock is ticking for the planet, but the climate change skeptics simply do not care. The vested interests at work are simply too great. …these donothing climate change skeptics are prepared to destroy our children's future - former Australian PM Kevin Rudd: or Quote The predominant moral issue of the 21st century, almost surely, will be climate change, comparable to Nazism faced by Churchill in the 20th century and slavery faced by Lincoln in the 19th century. Our fossil fuel addiction, if unabated, threatens our children and grandchildren, and most species on the planet" - James Hansen, head of Goddard Institute for Space Studies These are simply offensive slurs, of the same type that led to the Splattergate video, where children who do not believe in climate change are summarily blown up. Quote If a person does not respect the information provided by NASA (naysayers) then please provide me with more authoritative sources NASA, of course, is the home of James Hansen (see above), who in a speech to the National Press Club in 2008, said that the CEOs of fossil energy companies "should be tried for high crimes against humanity." He is also the author of a book called Storms of My Grandchildren, in which he argues that American citizens have no alternative but to take direct physical action to stop CO2 emissions. I don't regard that as an unbiased source. The debate about rice production worldwide should indeed be conducted without name-calling, but, unfortunately, the hard Green/Left uses demonization and vilification of its opponents as a standard agit-prop technique, so measured debate is not possible. #231Posted 2010-11-22 17:14:11
These institutes and think tanks who fund the contrarian theories via their PR experts and get them onto the media with 50% volume... these are the same folk who learned this trade and its personal profitability by saying cigarettes did not necessarily cause cancer. What about the BILLIONS spent by governments worldwide promoting warming alarmism and indoctrination? Compared to this, the skeptics' funding is a mere drop in the ocean. Governments are hoping to raise trillions in carbon taxes in future years, how about that for personal profitability. Basic common sense should tell you that the media is vastly slanted towards AGW scare mongering. What about Climategate? Exactly one year ago the scandal broke, exposing the corrupt, dishonest and self serving IPCC scientists who are at the very cap stone of AGW 'research'. Of all the details and careful itemizing of studies from page 9, you take one sentence, and attack it both without substance or merit. Sad. You chose to go for the easy base hit rather than to handle actual logical discussion that cites sources. Let the important details scroll to another page. Climate-gate was indeed investigated and the results shown to have been a tempest in a teapot. What was done in emails did not upset the balance of data or the conclusions derived. After a year of sensational stories followed by court investigation, this Washington Post article sums it up http://voices.washin...s_scientis.html For those desiring a discussion of data over schoolyard banter, there are links to maps summarizing global thermal readings by month (interactively searchable) as well as observed study results on crop production as relates to temperature for rice... see page 9. it has more such information than the above posts here on page 10. Edited by RPCVguy, 2010-11-22 17:17:17. #232Posted 2010-11-22 18:48:39
Climategate was indeed investigated, and is still being investigated, as a major scientific and financial fraud.
Hal Lewis of the American Physical Society (APS) put it best: Quote It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. I don't believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist. Edited by RickBradford, 2010-11-22 18:58:09. #233Posted 2010-11-22 20:35:22
The world is getting warmer.
The global warming debate is getting stratified in a similar way to the debate over whether parents should allow their children to get inoculated against certain communicable diseases. The people against inoculation are so affective at using the internet, that their efforts are causing a shift away from inoculations. The result is once-suppressible diseases are making a come-back, and children are getting things like whooping cough and polio (and mumps and rubella) - which they would have avoided if inoculations were widespread. The science is solid when it shows no greater incidence of in autism among children who get shots - compared to a same number of children who don't (fear of autism is the main concern of anti-inoculation folks). It's a complicated issue, but similar to the climate change issue, in that there is a stalwart % of the population who refuse to accept the findings of widespread and solid scientific evidence. Via the grand scale of the internet, the naysayers can wield a lot of clout - in order to espouse their beliefs. #234Posted 2010-11-22 20:59:13
Why can't you accept that many people disagree without characterizing them as ignorant. And the inoculation argument is pure straw.
Put up the facts or dispute the counterpoint. Your approach is childish. #235Posted 2010-11-22 21:06:48
Why can't you accept that many people disagree without characterizing them as ignorant. And the inoculation argument is pure straw. Put up the facts or dispute the counterpoint. Your approach is childish. I didn't use the word ignorant (you did). Neither did I resort to name calling, which you did. If name calling is a childish antic, then which one of us is childish? #236Posted 2010-11-23 06:50:47
This thread has so many folk already convinced for or against Climate Change that adding to the posts seems futile - but here goes with some comments and links. I see Climate change as a huge issue, already increasing the incidence of weird weather extremes. Really, if one wanted to understand cancer issues, would you ask anyone? maybe the local cattle rancher?or a car salesman? Even a podiatrist wouldn't be a great choice for opinions. Our society has so many people who have specialized and gained great expertise in their chosen fields. The issue is not that there are not climate specialists, or even whether there is agreement among them on maybe 98% of what is happening and why. The issue is that there are also PR specialists who have learned how to use the nature of science as to testing and theorizing to frame legitimate research as doubts. Too many politicians spout what they do in servitude of big business...(or religion - as for evolution) In this case they are serving corporate investment in oil, coal and gas. These institutes and think tanks who fund the contrarian theories via their PR experts and get them onto the media with 50% volume... these are the same folk who learned this trade and its personal profitability by saying cigarettes did not necessarily cause cancer. Sorry, I don't see validity in codling such viewpoints... only in supporting people knowing where to draw the line between what is known and what is being predicted. Known: humans are causing climate change outside and above the ranges of effects from orbit wobble, sunspots, volcanoes and the like. See this 2-min video by sir David Attenborough: It gives a quick comparison of modeling results for global temperature against real observation - with and without human activity. Predicted, but not known: how rapidly the temps will rise and at precisely which points will the effects become irreversible. The scary part about the latter is that every time the new data is compiled, the prior worst cases rates of change are being exceeded. Hoping someone's ideas are wrong makes for a high stakes bluff in a game of poker. This article says the odds are stacking against us... especially in the tropics http://www.newscient...-has-begun.html To my delight, a friend on another forum posted a cartoon link quite on topic. Though the cartoonist makes fun of both sides of the issues, he isn't even handed. I went through the collection from beginning to end and offer the following as worthy of this discussion Big Hoax #237Posted 2010-11-23 11:07:29
These institutes and think tanks who fund the contrarian theories via their PR experts and get them onto the media with 50% volume... these are the same folk who learned this trade and its personal profitability by saying cigarettes did not necessarily cause cancer. What about the BILLIONS spent by governments worldwide promoting warming alarmism and indoctrination? Compared to this, the skeptics' funding is a mere drop in the ocean. Governments are hoping to raise trillions in carbon taxes in future years, how about that for personal profitability. Basic common sense should tell you that the media is vastly slanted towards AGW scare mongering. What about Climategate? Exactly one year ago the scandal broke, exposing the corrupt, dishonest and self serving IPCC scientists who are at the very cap stone of AGW 'research'. Of all the details and careful itemizing of studies from page 9, you take one sentence, and attack it both without substance or merit. Sad. You chose to go for the easy base hit rather than to handle actual logical discussion that cites sources. Let the important details scroll to another page. Climate-gate was indeed investigated and the results shown to have been a tempest in a teapot. What was done in emails did not upset the balance of data or the conclusions derived. After a year of sensational stories followed by court investigation, this Washington Post article sums it up http://voices.washin...s_scientis.html For those desiring a discussion of data over schoolyard banter, there are links to maps summarizing global thermal readings by month (interactively searchable) as well as observed study results on crop production as relates to temperature for rice... see page 9. it has more such information than the above posts here on page 10. If you want people to reply to every point you make then try to be concise and not write a novel. You made a point, highlighted it and I replied to it. The climategate 'investigations' were an absolute whitewash. The first was by the UEA themselves so no surprise when they found little at fault with their own scientists, and the second was conducted by a group of supposedly independent warmists, and again no surprise with their findings. Storm in a tea cup? Ok, perhaps you can explain exactly how the following research by Michael Mann is science. He collected tree ring data that showed steadily rising temperatures throughout the last century, but unfortunately for him the warming in the tree ring data stopped (off the top of my head) around 1960 and started to show a decline. He then wrote an email saying it was a 'travesty' that he could show no warming and that he was going to use a 'trick' by adding in thermometer readings from the year 1960 onwards to show a continuing rise in temperatures. So in other words when the tree ring data wasn't performing the way he wanted he snipped off the unwanted information (that showed cooling) and added on the massaged thermometer readings that got the results he was looking for. This may be Frankenscience - bolting two completely different data sets together and hoping no one will notice - but it is not science. #238Posted 2010-11-23 17:56:52
These institutes and think tanks who fund the contrarian theories via their PR experts and get them onto the media with 50% volume... these are the same folk who learned this trade and its personal profitability by saying cigarettes did not necessarily cause cancer. What about the BILLIONS spent by governments worldwide promoting warming alarmism and indoctrination? Compared to this, the skeptics' funding is a mere drop in the ocean. Governments are hoping to raise trillions in carbon taxes in future years, how about that for personal profitability. Basic common sense should tell you that the media is vastly slanted towards AGW scare mongering. What about Climategate? Exactly one year ago the scandal broke, exposing the corrupt, dishonest and self serving IPCC scientists who are at the very cap stone of AGW 'research'. Of all the details and careful itemizing of studies from page 9, you take one sentence, and attack it both without substance or merit. Sad. You chose to go for the easy base hit rather than to handle actual logical discussion that cites sources. Let the important details scroll to another page. Climate-gate was indeed investigated and the results shown to have been a tempest in a teapot. What was done in emails did not upset the balance of data or the conclusions derived. After a year of sensational stories followed by court investigation, this Washington Post article sums it up http://voices.washin...s_scientis.html For those desiring a discussion of data over schoolyard banter, there are links to maps summarizing global thermal readings by month (interactively searchable) as well as observed study results on crop production as relates to temperature for rice... see page 9. it has more such information than the above posts here on page 10. If you want people to reply to every point you make then try to be concise and not write a novel. You made a point, highlighted it and I replied to it. The climategate 'investigations' were an absolute whitewash. The first was by the UEA themselves so no surprise when they found little at fault with their own scientists, and the second was conducted by a group of supposedly independent warmists, and again no surprise with their findings. Storm in a tea cup? Ok, perhaps you can explain exactly how the following research by Michael Mann is science. He collected tree ring data that showed steadily rising temperatures throughout the last century, but unfortunately for him the warming in the tree ring data stopped (off the top of my head) around 1960 and started to show a decline. He then wrote an email saying it was a 'travesty' that he could show no warming and that he was going to use a 'trick' by adding in thermometer readings from the year 1960 onwards to show a continuing rise in temperatures. So in other words when the tree ring data wasn't performing the way he wanted he snipped off the unwanted information (that showed cooling) and added on the massaged thermometer readings that got the results he was looking for. This may be Frankenscience - bolting two completely different data sets together and hoping no one will notice - but it is not science. Perhaps, but in science, a blanket statement isn't truth by decree. I wrote it of as a tempest in a teapot because from p4 of http://www.pewclimat...ls-12-07-09.pdf "Although there is no clear evidence of scientific fraud or misconduct at this early stage, if further investigation were to reveal that misconduct had occurred, the scientific consensus regarding human‐induced climate change, as stated by the IPCC, the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, and virtually every relevant scientific body (see listing below), is not likely to be affected. The data sets involved in the discussions have been reproduced independently by other scientists in other countries and yield similar conclusions. Moreover, the data sets discussed in the emails, while relevant, are not essential to our understanding of contemporary climate change. The two data sets highlighted in accusations of misconduct are very limited and consist of: Because I consistently cite the actual source from which I quote, you and other readers have the option of reviewing the rigor of analysis. Those posting here often make broad assertions. When done without specific links to source material it contrasts starkly with to the level of honest revelation that climate change deniers demanded of the actual scientists doing the research. My posts tend to be long on this topic in an attempt to deal seriously with an important and controversial subject. While you were responding, you failed to notice the discussion at the bottom of the Washington Post article initially linked - many similar pros and cons as are being written here - including these: "The controversy did point out some problems--scientists don't do nearly enough to educate the public on their work, scientists do act like an old boys' club, refusing to deal with people outside their own circle. Scientists do need to open up to the public and to talented outsiders such as Steve McIntyre. Scientists also need to be honest about uncertainties and to beware of simplifying complex results for the general public." [Posted by: Dadmeister | July 7, 2010 3:58 PM] "Just a few notes:
#239Posted 2010-11-26 08:48:58 Quote On September 19, 2010 sea ice extent reached a minimum for the year of 4.6 million km2. The 2010 minimum is the third-lowest recorded since 1979, surpassed only by 2008 and the record low in 2007. Overall, the 2010 minimum was 31% (2.1 million km2) lower than the 1979-2000 average. The last four summers have experienced the four lowest minimums in the satellite record, and eight of the ten lowest minimums have occurred during the last decade. Surface air temperatures through the 2010 summer were warmer than normal throughout the Arctic, though less extreme than in 2007. above is an excerpt. Complete article, including graphics #240Posted 2010-11-26 10:21:46 Quote We have been hearing a lot about how the decline in Arctic ice is following the "steepest slope ever." The point is largely meaningless, but we can have some fun with it. The BremenArctic/Antarctic maps are superimposed above, showing that ice in the Antarctic is at a record high and growing at the "steepest slope ever." You will also note that most of the world's sea ice is located in the Antarctic. But those are inconvenient truths when trying to frighten people into believing that "the polar ice caps are melting." above is an excerpt. Complete article at http://www.prisonpla...slope-ever.html, including graphics Edited by RickBradford, 2010-11-26 10:23:10. #241Posted 2010-11-27 10:24:06
Two weather phenomena being reported – with seemingly opposite conclusions to be drawn:
Quote On September 19, 2010 sea ice extent reached a minimum for the year of 4.6 million km2. The 2010 minimum is the third-lowest recorded since 1979, surpassed only by 2008 and the record low in 2007. Overall, the 2010 minimum was 31% (2.1 million km2) lower than the 1979-2000 average. The last four summers have experienced the four lowest minimums in the satellite record, and eight of the ten lowest minimums have occurred during the last decade. Surface air temperatures through the 2010 summer were warmer than normal throughout the Arctic, though less extreme than in 2007. above is an excerpt. Complete article, including graphics In Contrast the citation below highlights that the Antarctic Ice mass is growing as the Antarctic has had cooler temps over a 30 year period.
Quote We have been hearing a lot about how the decline in Arctic ice is following the "steepest slope ever." The point is largely meaningless, but we can have some fun with it. The BremenArctic/Antarctic maps are superimposed above, showing that ice in the Antarctic is at a record high and growing at the "steepest slope ever." You will also note that most of the world's sea ice is located in the Antarctic. But those are inconvenient truths when trying to frighten people into believing that "the polar ice caps are melting." above is an excerpt. Complete article at http://www.prisonpla...slope-ever.html, including graphics Since Brahmburgers and RickBradford were kind enough to supply their data source links, I was able to get into enough detail to see these as two regional weather aspects midst the same global trend.
GlobalTempTrend30yr.png 90.78K
3 downloads This mapping of global temperatures included in RickBradford's link shows that while the majority of the planet is warming, Antarctica (normally a dry continent with little precipitation) is cooler. The article then describes how Antarctica is receiving an influx of moisture from the warmer than usual surrounding ocean. A persistence of a circular vortex of air over the continent is protecting the ice in general for all but the Antarctic Peninsula.The logical questions that follow are: Will the planet as a whole continue to warm? If so, will the snow in Antarctica eventually be rain? Of the two questions, the former seems likely for two reasons. First, the cumulative effects of greenhouse gases guarantee that a larger portion of radiant heat from the sun will be trapped by the atmosphere. (This link shows human generation of greenhouse gases by sector http://maps.grida.no...sions-by-sector ) Secondly, the sun itself has been in a quiet cycle from sunspots that would typically raise the amount of net radiant energy from the sun. While this may continue, the likelihood is for another sunspot cycle to begin and amplify what is already a warming trend. Looking again at the above image of global thermal patterns, it seems probable that once solar radiance picks up again with sunspots, or any of a number of effects like release of methane from melting Arctic tundra, that the huge ice-mass of Antarctica will also begin to warm - and not only at its outlying peninsular region. Finally, to bring this back to the main discussion topic, rice production in Thailand… this year is demonstrating what has been predicted for global warming in general, a magnification of weather extremes. Thailand had a severe drought in the first half of 2010, causing a reduction in the rice crop. Since mid-year though the breaking of the El Nino pattern in the Pacific allowed for rains to return, but with stronger storm patterns carrying more rain, causing more extensive flooding. Again, this has caused a decrease in the rice crop. The impact of droughts and or floods far outweigh the impacts to date of lower production when overnight temperatures are too high. There will be fluctuations - but the overall long-term trend for tropical rice production midst global warming looks to be negative. Reversing such trends will require different varieties of rice and or an increased level of land and water management. Note: The climate models I've reviewed for predicting rainfall are non-definitive for SE Asia, but only predict an increased frequency of weather extremes throughout the tropics. There are many articles on the topic, but this is a good summary: http://www.scienceda...00226093238.htm #242Posted 2010-12-10 01:56:36
The hard core global warming ideologues oughta love this one .... record cold ... aka "the Gore effect" strikes at global warming conference:
http://www.drroyspen...strikes-cancun/ Shit, can't Mother Nature get anything right? 555555555555555555555555555555555555 #243Posted 2010-12-10 07:56:28
In my culture, it is an obligation to protect the environment and think about future generations. I like and agree with what you are saying RPCVguy. You are presenting the scientific evidence that should be obvious by now to any thinking person: climate change is real and caused by humans. Your attempt to "talk" with some posters here who obviously have no clue about the subject is interesting and made me think of a quote by a famous Native American Indian: "If you talk to the animals they will talk with you and you will know each other. If you do not talk to them you will not know them andwhat you do not know, you will fear. What one fears, one destroys." ---Chief Dan George That is good advice by Chief Dan George, but I know, from experience, it is almost impossible to talk to a buffalo. Good luck talking to human animals #244Posted 2010-12-12 08:09:29
In my culture, it is an obligation to protect the environment and think about future generations. I like and agree with what you are saying RPCVguy. You are presenting the scientific evidence that should be obvious by now to any thinking person: climate change is real and caused by humans. Your attempt to "talk" with some posters ... Meanwhile, to your analogy, there are often other animals in the forest. Perhaps a wolf or an eagle such as implied by your name here. Ultimately the events will unfold and wisdom will be clear to understand. Attached Files#245Posted 2010-12-12 14:38:38
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