Thailaw, on 2010-11-09 09:41:45, said:
witold, on 2010-11-09 05:53:41, said:
I don't know about Pattaya, but 2005 was the peak of the RE bubble in the US. Very few things are selling at 2005 prices.
I think a lot of people list their place for sale and just sit on it. It's hard to say how serious they are about selling. If they are not reevaluating their price and strategy every month, they couldn't possibly be that serious about selling their place I would think...
Is there a way to check prior sales histories of similar properties? In the US, all these transactions are recorded so you know exactly how much every other place in the neighborhood sold for. Appraisers use these records to come up with appraisals. Is there anything similar in Thailand?
It doesn't matter how much they paid for their place. It only matters how much similar places are selling for right now.
Lastly, Pattaya is a tourist town. If tourists are coming and spending, houses will sell again and prices skyrocket. If tourists are cutting back, things will linger on the market until tourists come back and start spending again... Such places tend to be very seasonal.
I think a lot of people list their place for sale and just sit on it. It's hard to say how serious they are about selling. If they are not reevaluating their price and strategy every month, they couldn't possibly be that serious about selling their place I would think...
Is there a way to check prior sales histories of similar properties? In the US, all these transactions are recorded so you know exactly how much every other place in the neighborhood sold for. Appraisers use these records to come up with appraisals. Is there anything similar in Thailand?
It doesn't matter how much they paid for their place. It only matters how much similar places are selling for right now.
Lastly, Pattaya is a tourist town. If tourists are coming and spending, houses will sell again and prices skyrocket. If tourists are cutting back, things will linger on the market until tourists come back and start spending again... Such places tend to be very seasonal.
You point to a very serious difficulty here in Pattaya -- getting reliable, accurate information is extermely difficult. You can get lots of asking prices, which do not reflect "selling prices". But getting prices on houses that have sold recently (not many of those in any event) is very, very difficult. And the real estate agents here are totally unreliable, and have little to no incentive to accurately and honestly disclose recent transaction prices (most don't even know any). In fact, if they hope to make a sale, their incentive is to convince you that the "market price" is higher than it actually is, so that they increase their chance of selling someting that they have available at an unreasonable/unrealistic asking price. And many agents fulfill sellers' unrealistic expectations on price to convince a seller to list the house with them. The bias is to spiral asking prices higher and for houses to sit rather than sell. And the problem is compounted by the lack of reliable information. As a friend used to say, "there is an ass for every seat", and here the predominant strategy is to sit and wait for the ingnorant (uninformed) ass to fill the seat you are trying to sell. It doesn't work often, but it works in rare instances to give sellers "hope" and give the uninformed posters here one-off anecdotes to justify their purchases of houses that they cannot/could not sell at a price anywhere near what they paid for it -- "ignorence is bliss". But, "who cares?", right?
Whatever you think you know, the fool who pays way too much for a property having failed to look around is the exception (the one-off as you call it). By far and away the more common scenario is the careful individual who takes his time, does his research and finds the right property at the right price. I certainly fall into the latter category and judging by all the positive thoughts on property ownership in Thailand by those other property owners who have posted in this thread, it is very clear that most of them do as well. Have you ever considered that not everyone is as stupid as you obviously think they are?
In terms of the numbers of properties sold in Pattaya, how do you think well over 100 property agents (plus plenty of freelancers) stay in business? It is far from cheap to operate an office, pay for adverts, pay staff salaries, etc, etc, yet for such a small town many seem to do so even in a relatively quiet market. I wouldn't say for one minute that there are as many properties being sold as there were a few years ago when the market was absolutely booming, but once again the same is true of lots of property markets all over the World. I think the truth is that as with many things upon which you claim knowledge, actually you have no appreciation whatsoever as to how many properties are being sold in Pattaya.




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